Climate Analogues

Believable climate futures explored by Nepalese farmers

2012-12-11 / Posted by analogues_admin

by Chase Sova and Jessica Thorn

Climate Analogues in practice: CCAFS and Oxford University are conducting farmer trainings in Beora, Nepal. Photo: N. Palmer (CIAT)

Climate Analogues in practice: CCAFS and Oxford University are conducting farmer trainings in Beora, Nepal. Photo: N. Palmer (CIAT) (view original)

Researchers from the University of Oxford arrived in Beora, Nepal on a hot, humid day in May of this year. It was here, between the mid-hills region of Nepal and the border of India, that the team would spend the next four months working with farmers, collecting data on the tools, methods and frameworks to support climate change adaptation.

The main objective was the “Farms of the Future” (FOTF) project, an initiative designed to test how the climate analogues tool (PDF) could be used to inform decision making and improve the adaptive capacity of small-holder farmers. The Farms of the Future project is embedded in the Systemic Integrated Adaptation (SIA) research programmewhich conducted the research.

To give a background, the analogues tool uses downscaled temperature and precipitation predictions and current data sets to identify spatial analogues, i.e. sites with statistically similar temperature and precipitation trends, for the predicted 2030 climate of a given reference site as Beora. In the FOTF project, the analogue tool outputs were used to inform the selection of locations for farmer exchanges.

Read the full article here.